Jul 16 2008

Kissell Raises Three Times the Cash of ‘06

Democrat Larry Kissell, the Biscoe teacher who came within 330 votes of a seat in Congress two years ago, has three times the cash he had at the same point in his last bid, but is still dwarfed by Rep. Robin Hayes’ fundraising.

Kissell had $232,000 cash on hand as of June 30, compared to $83,000 two years ago, campaign finance reports filed Tuesday show.

Charlotte Observer

This is probably going to be the biggest up in the air race in this election year.  If I were to base my analysis on history, I would say odds are Kissell would lose.  In 1994 there a few Republicans that came very close to picking off Democrat incumbents and when they ran against them again in 1996 they lost by a larger margin than before.  However, 2008 is not the same political environment as 1996.  With an energized Democratic electorate behind Barack Obama, Kissell could improve his numbers and emerge victorious.  I don’t underestimate Obama’s ability to implode before the election, though.

I won’t even attempt to make a prediction in this race.  It’s too tough to call.

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