Nov 02 2008
Races To Watch Tuesday Night
It’s not just the next President we’re electing on Tuesday; we’ve got all kinds of races going on in both states from the U.S. Senate down to your local school board. I have put together a list of state and Federal races that should be carefully followed Tuesday night as I imagine they will be close.
- President - Obviously everyone knows we’ll be choosing our next President. I think John McCain is going to carry both North and South Carolina, North by a hair and South easily, however I think Barack Obama will end up becoming the next President.
- NC US Senate Race - This has been a brutal race between Elizabeth Dole and Kay Hagan. I think Hagan is going to emerge the victor in this in no small part by the Dole campaign’s “Godless” ad. I think that hurt Dole more than Hagan.
- NC Gubernatorial Race - Another nail biter, but I think and pray that Pat McCrory ends up the next governor and I am going to make a very bold prediction here. I think his Lt Governor will end up being Democrat Walter Dalton, not Pittenger. McCrory has been leading by three or four points in the last few polls that have come out. If people really are change oriented as they claim then McCrory should prevail. He is the candidate of sorely needed change in Raleigh.
- NC 5th Congressional District - Virginia Foxx has received a tougher than anticipated challenge from Roy Carter, but I think Foxx will be reelected.
- NC 8th Congressional District - If Robin Hayes pulls out a reelection victory Tuesday night I will be stunned. I just don’t see it and I think that Larry Kissell will be the 8th District’s new Congressman. I think this will be the only Congressional District to flip in both states.
- NC Auditor General - I think Les Merritt will be okay, but it will be a close victory. As I have stated in recent days, voters would be doing a disservice to themselves by replacing him. He is the only watchdog the people have had against the majority party in Raleigh.
- NC Labor Commissioner - I think Cherie Berry is going to lose. I think people will make a mental connection between Labor Commissioner and a soured economy. They have absolutely nothing to do with each other, but when you think of a bad economy you think of job losses, hence labor, and people tend to relate to Democrats better than Republicans on labor issues.
- NC Senate District 9 - I think Julia Boseman will come out on top in this one, but I still expect a close race considering the money that has been spent on it on both sides.
- NC Senate District 25 - Tony Foriest just won this seat in 2006 and faces a challenge from Rick Gunn to take the seat back for the GOP. I think Foriest will get reelected.
- NC Senate DIstrict 46 - This is Walter Dalton’s Senate seat that he is vacating to run for Lieutenant Governor. This should be a Republican pickup. It’s fairly conservative and has leaned Republican for some time now, but Dalton has hung on due to incumbency and having a more conservative voting record.
- SC Senate District 10 - This is John Drummond’s seat and he decided to retire after many years in public service. The seat is being strongly contested on both sides with Dee Compton as the Republican candidate and Greenwood Mayor Floyd Nicholson on the Democratic ticket. This has the potential to go either way, but I think the Democrats will hold this seat.
- SC Senate District 25 - I think this will be the closest race of all of them. Republican Shane Massey won this seat last year in a special election after the former Democratic Senator Tommy Moore resigned from the Senate for a more lucrative career opportunity. This seat actually leans slightly Democratic, but Massey has never really stopped campaigning since he won it. He faces Democrat Greg Anderson. This is too close for me to make a call on how this will turn out.
- SC House District 115 - Wallace Scarborough almost lost his seat in 2006 when his challenger came within a little over 300 votes of him. He faces another strong challenge this year from Anne Peterson Hutto, but I think Scarborough is going to hang on by a larger margin than ‘06.
Foxx will win big! Those that think the race is tough are believing the spin by the liberal democrat bloggers.
Carter’s association with the California Sex Industry does not go over well with the conservative voters in North Carolina.
http://appconservative.blogspot.com/2008/10/good-lord-who-is-roy-carter.html
Don’t be so confident about Les Merritt. I’ve seen polling that shows him trailing his opponent. Every one of you who cares about good government in N.C. needs to do your part to get him re-elected.
If Foxx lost and McHenry stayed, that would be a travesty. She is a godsend to conservatives, and he is a faker that is only interested in his own power. He voted against the bailout (good), but he essentially was part of the crowd on the Banking Committee that CAUSED the bailout vote in the first place.
He’s clearly been eating at the Fannie Mae & company trough his entire time in office, in addition to partying with boys, felons, and drunk drivers and generally making a damned fool of himself and the Republican Party. If Johnson wins, we’ll get the seat back next cycle, minus the embarrassment of that idiot.
Also, how does he manage to waste several million dollars in Republican hard and soft money continually defending a seat that didn’t take Ballenger 1 million dollars the entire time he was in office? Could those dollars have been spent defending Robin Hayes or Elizabeth Dole? You betcha. McHenry is a selfish loser and a disgrace to our party.
There, I feel better now.