Jun 23 2010
Run Off Election Recap
Last night’s run off settled some remaining scores and now that everyone knows who their opponent is, they can begin focusing on the November races.
Elaine Marshall won the Democratic nomination for the U.S.Senate race in North Carolina. She will now face incumbent Republican Richard Burr and Libertarian Michael Beitler. I rank this race as leaning Republican.
State Representative Nikki Haley handily defeated Congressman Gresham Barrett in the Republican gubernatorial run off for South Carolina. Haley will now face Democratic State Senator Vincent Sheheen in the fall to determine who will succeed Governor Mark Sanford. I rank this race as also leaning Republican. Ken Ard will be Haley’s Lt Governor running mate.
In North Carolina’s 8th Congressional District Republican run off Harold Johnson easily bested Tim D’Annunzio as expected. D’Annunzio will now have all the time he needs to begin excavating the State of Arizona for the lost Ark of the Convenant. Johnson will face incumbent Democratic Congressman Larry Kissell and Libertarian Thomas Hill in November. I rank this race as leaning Democratic.
In North Carolina’s 13th Congressional District Bill Randall defeated Bernie Reeves. Democrat Brad Miller is the incumbent in this gerrymandered district which covers a small portion of the Triangle and then shoots up to the Virginia border. This is a D+5 district, so it’s not overwhelmingly Democratic, though I lean this race towards Miller. Given the political environment this year, however, we could see Randall pull off an upset in November.
In South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District State Representative Tim Scott defeated Paul Thurmond by a huge margin in the Republican run off. Although Congressman Henry Brown almost lost this seat in 2008, it is still pretty reliably Republican. Scott is likely to win the November election.
State Representative Jeff Duncan defeated political newcomer Richard Cash by only a three point margin in the Republican run off for South Carolina’s 3rd Congressional District. This is a solidly Republican seat and we are sure to see Duncan succeed Gresham Barrett in January.
Congressman Bob Inglis became another incumbent to lose reelection in his party’s primary in what’s becoming a long line of incumbent bloodletting all across the country. Trey Gowdy laid the smackdown on him pretty hard last night. Like the 3rd, the 4th is solidly Republican and Gowdy will be the next Congressman come January.
Alan Wilson won the Republican run off for South Carolina’s Attorney General race. The odds favor him to win the general election in November. Mick Zais won the State Education Superintendent Republican run off and he will face Democrat Frank Holleman in the general. I rank this race as a toss up. This is the one statewide seat that the Democrats traditionally seem to be able to capture in this state, probably because Democrats are generally trusted on education issues better than the GOP. Although, with the political environment favoring the GOP this year more so than normal, Zais could emerge victorious.
In South Carolina’s State House run offs, Doug Brannon ousted one term State Representative Joey Millwood in the 38th House District. This was an unfortunate result as Brannon supports the failed status quo of public education in this state, where as Millwood was a school choice supporter. On the other hand, Andy Patrick absolutely pummeled State Representative Richard Chalk in the 123rd so that balances out the Millwood loss. Democrat Boyd Brown just barely kept his seat in District 41 and Republican Marion Frye hung on to his seat in District 39.
And since I live in York County I always like to weigh on our local races. Both County Council incumbents in the Republican run off lost their seats. Eric Winstead defeated Councilman Joe Cox in District 3 and Britt Blackwell beat Buddy Motz in District 6. David Bowman secured the nomination in District 1, the seat currently held by sleaze bag Paul Lindemann who only managed to get a paltry 12% in the primary election two weeks ago.
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