Jan 07 2010
Race for SC-01 is Shaping Up
This information is courtesy of The Hill.

Apparently, I was correct in my speculation that Brown’s Democratic challenger in 2008, Linda Ketner, is exploring the possibility of a second bid for the seat now that Mr. Brown is thankfully retiring. Ketner is reported to make a decision within the next week as to whether she will pursue the seat again. I think her entry can make it a more competitive race, but should she choose not to run I think whoever wins the GOP nomination will cruise into Election Day rather easily. The Democrats don’t seem to have anyone else who I would consider to be a top tier candidate. Ketner’s hesitancy is a concern over the national political environment right now and it’s a valid concern. As each week passes the political atmosphere is becoming more hostile to the Democrats, practically a complete reversal from what we’ve seen in the last two election cycles. In fact it’s become so hostile that the current U.S. Senate race to fill the late Ted Kennedy’s Senate seat in the reliably Democratic state of Massachusetts has actually become competitive according to polling. If Ketner runs I think she will have to distance herself from the radical leadership of her party and paint herself as more of an independent Democrat who won’t be afraid to say no to Nancy Pelosi if it’s in the interest of her constituents, a quality we haven’t seen from Mr. Spratt up here in York County.
On the Republican side the field is much more diverse. Three Republicans have already officially declared their candidacies. They are Reagan conservative Katherine Jenerette, Carroll “Tumpy” Campbell III, and Isle of Palms city councilman Ryan Buckhannon. Buckhannon and I go “way back.” According to The Hill, the late Senator Strom Thurmond’s son Paul Thurmond is also considering entering the fray. It’s hard to say who would be the early front runner in this crowded of a field. Jenerette is definitely the anti-establishment candidate and I could see her ginning up the support of the tea party movement. Campbell and Thurmond could both gain the support of the local and national GOP as they would be “insiders” due to their family ties. I don’t think Buckhannon will go very far in the race. I just don’t think that a small town councilman will be able to compete in a race with such high profile names in the running.
So this could shape up to be a very captivating House race when it is all said and done. It will all depend on where the chips fall and the decisions made within the coming weeks. We’ll keep our eyes and ears open.



